Even if the Chicago Cubs defy the math and reach the postseason, Jed Hoyer will still face plenty of questions regarding the roster construction of the 2024 team.
Hoyer and the Cubs' front office spoke of the 2024 roster at the start of the season with the expectation of winning the National League Central division but the construction of the roster would suggest that the organization was pinning their expectation on hope instead of reality.
The facts are the facts. The Cubs haven't reached the postseason under Hoyer's regime. Entering the final year of his contract next season, it would seem that Hoyer, for everything the organization has done right as a whole, will need to construct a team capable of winning consistently at the Major League level.
In his latest mailbag with The Athletic (Subscription Required), Sahadev Sharma did not mince words when asked about Hoyer's job security.
Even if one is being generous and just looking at the past two seasons, it hasn’t been good enough. So yes, Hoyer is on the hot seat. There’s no denying that. This season has been disappointing, and if they’re not contending next summer, it likely means Hoyer will be out of a job. It hasn’t been a disaster, but it also isn’t what fans deserve: regular contention for the postseason and hopefully more than that.
For as much as Cubs fans may wish for it, there likely won't be a scenario where Hoyer is fired. His contract is up after the 2025 season and that will likely be the marker for Tom Ricketts. Assuming the Cubs miss the postseason in 2024 and if they struggle in 2025, the only option that Ricketts will have is to let Hoyer's contract expire and use that to bring change to the front office.
It goes without saying that Hoyer will need to be aggressive this offseason. The same aggressiveness that Hoyer has last offseason in hiring Craig Counsell is the same aggressiveness in which he will need to attack the weaknesses of the Major League roster this winter.