Chicago Cubs: Looking at the numbers behind critical Game 2 decisions

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 07: Ryan Zimmerman #11 of the Washington Nationals celebrates after hitting a game winning 3 run home run against the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning during game two of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 7, 2017 in Washington, DC. The Nationals won the game 6-3. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 07: Ryan Zimmerman #11 of the Washington Nationals celebrates after hitting a game winning 3 run home run against the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning during game two of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 7, 2017 in Washington, DC. The Nationals won the game 6-3. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images) /
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WASHINGTON, DC – OCTOBER 07: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals hits a two run home run against the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning during game two of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 7, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC – OCTOBER 07: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals hits a two run home run against the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning during game two of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 7, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /

Chicago Cubs: Looking at the bigger picture

But it wasn’t just any lefty-swinging bat in the box. It was Bryce Harper, who, despite missing more than a month with a knee injury, still racked up 29 homers in just 111 games. And to say he feasted on right-handed pitching this year is putting it mildly.

Of his 29 long-balls, Harper hit 26 of them against right-handers. He slugged 1.087 against them, as opposed to just .802 against southpaws. He managed just 10 extra-base hits against lefties this season – with 47 against right-hander (in an admittedly larger sample size).

A more troubling matchup

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So. Harper takes Edwards deep and the game is tied 3-3. He walks the next man, Anthony Rendon, who homered in the first off Jon Lester. Maddon heads to the mound and makes the move for Montgomery to face the left-handed hitting Daniel Murphy.

It doesn’t pay off. Murphy inside-outs a ball to left. Ben Zobrist cuts it off and the Nats now have a man at first with still just one out in the inning. Maddon keeps Montgomery in to face Ryan Zimmerman, a right-handed hitter. Keep in mind Wade Davis was throwing in the pen at different points in the late innings.

Ahead in the count 0-1, Montgomery leaves a pitch out over the heart of the plate and Zimmerman sneaks one over the left-field wall for a three-run blast. Never mind the fact it looked like Zobrist might have had a play on it had he leapt at the wall. That’s an entirely different matter altogether.

Let’s get back to the Zimmerman-Montgomery matchup.