Predicting the Chicago Cubs' opening day 26-man roster

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Chicago Cubs Introduce Dansby Swanson / Matt Dirksen/GettyImages
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With only three weeks until pitchers and catchers report, it's time to take a deep dive at what could be the finalized version of the Chicago Cubs 26-man roster ahead of opening day. The Cubs' additions to this roster will make for an exciting season, and with any over-achieving from certain players, the team is in a solid position to compete for the NL Central title this season. Ahead, we'll take a look at all three facets, including the lineup/bench, starting rotation, and bullpen.

Certain guys will be obvious choices, but those "on the fringe" players are what will be interesting to try to predict. We know there will be an opening or two in the bullpen for which quite a few pitchers will compete. The bench is a question mark for the Cubs, and that could be a "may the best man win" scenario somewhat as well. Without further ado, here's the early prediction for the 26-man roster on opening day.

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs / Jamie Sabau/GettyImages

Opening Day roster - 3. The lineup

1. Nico Hoerner 2B
2. Ian Happ LF
3. Dansby Swanson SS
4. Seiya Suzuki RF
5. Cody Bellinger CF
6. Trey Mancini DH
7. Eric Hosmer 1B
8. Christopher Morel 3B
9. Yan Gomes C

Bench: Patrick Wisdom, Nick Madrigal, Zach McKinstry, Tucker Barnhart


The lineup is probably the easiest to take a stab at, but analyzing the bench on top of it is a little more complicated. Certainly subject to change based on matchups with LHP vs. RHP, it's a safe assumption that this will be the majority of what you see daily as far as bats go. The Cubs will carry two catchers, and Patrick Wisdom's well below-average defensive metrics last year may limit him to bench/DH duties at best this season. He still has three options remaining, so it will be important to watch and see if Miles Mastrobuoni can give him a run for his money this Spring.

Nick Madrigal, the subject of recent trade rumors, I don't see being moved before the trade deadline. The Cubs are better off adding him to a more extensive trade package from a buyer's standpoint, assuming the Cubs are in contention. He doesn't fetch you enough talent alone to be worth trading for a single prospect unless you somehow get an absolute steal. McKinstry's defensive versatility gives him a decent floor, and if he can swing it any better, he becomes a viable piece for the Cubs. At least from a fill-in standpoint.

Chicago Cubs v Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs v Miami Marlins / Megan Briggs/GettyImages

Opening Day roster - 2. The starting rotation

1. Marcus Stroman
2. Justin Steele
3. Jameson Taillon
4. Hayden Wesneski
5. Drew Smyly

The top three are definite locks for the rotation. After that, you could flip out the bottom two in Wesneski and Smyly for a plethora of pitchers listed on the bullpen page. However, based on the pure filth we saw from Wesneski on the mound, I'm envisioning more of the same from him in Spring Training. Kyle Hendricks, most likely starting on the IL, further solidifies my belief here, and upon his return, it will be interesting to see the role he provides the Cubs moving forward.

Drew Smyly in the five spot seems likely, but it's certainly not guaranteed. If we were going into the 2022 season, penciling him into a spot would be plausible. This season, however, the Cubs are looking to compete and won't be as flexible if guys show a prolonged bout of underperformance. It will be beneficial, though not an absolute must if the Cubs can lock two lefties into the rotation. The Cubs boast the luxury of depth this year, so if injuries occur, it will be next man up. Thankfully, the next man up for the Cubs is full of players who have success at the major league level.

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs / Matt Dirksen/GettyImages

Opening Day roster - 1. The Bullpen

1. Adrian Sampson
2. Keegan Thompson
3. Adbert Alzolay
4. Rowan Wick
5. Roenis Elias
6. Brandon Hughes
7. Brad Boxberger
8. Andrew Chafin/Matt Moore

Addressing the elephant in the room first: Yes, the Cubs land a back-end piece to their bullpen via free agency—specifically, one of these two names in Chafin or Moore. It will be tight payroll-wise, knowing the Cubs want to save money for the trade deadline if they need to take on another contract without going over the first tier of the luxury tax. That's why it will take Jed Hoyer's creativity with the structure of the contract. Perhaps another one-year mutual option with a higher buyout, as we saw with Cody Bellinger, will do the trick to avoid a higher AAV on the books for 2023.

Sampson, Thompson, Alzolay, Hughes, and Boxberger are no-brainers elsewhere. After what we've witnessed from Elias in the Dominican Winter League, It's safe to say if he performs anywhere near the same level in Spring Training, he certainly will have earned the chance to break camp with the big-league roster. However, fighting for spots with him will be Javier Assad and Jeremiah Estrada. So, that will be an interesting situation to monitor this Spring.

Next. 3 pitchers who could be the Chicago Cubs closer. dark

It will be important to remember that both Codi Heuer and Ethan Roberts will be on the IL to start the season. Heuer is more likely to automatically have room made for him over Roberts, given that the Cubs have always envisioned a more significant role for him. Hopefully, the injury bug stays away from Chicago this season. Landing Chafin or Moore quietly gives the Cubs a stronger bullpen than people will realize.

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