Giants vs. Cubs prediction and odds for Monday, Sept. 4 (Expect pitcher’s duel on Labor Day)

There are no one, not two, not three, but four teams tied for the final wild card spot in the National League entering Monday’s action, and the Chicago Cubs are playing one of them in the San Francisco Giants. 

The Cubbies have a three-game cushion on the No. 2 wild card spot, but the Miami Marlins, Giants, Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks are all tied for the third and final spot in the National League. 

That should make things very interesting down the stretch of this season, and this is a huge series for both the Cubs and Giants, as Chicago could distance itself from the pack, but the Giants could make a push for the No. 2 wild card. 

Both teams will have a top-notch starter on the mound on Monday with Cubs All-Star Justin Steele taking on Giants ace Logan Webb.  

Giants vs. Cubs probable pitchers for Monday, Sept. 4

• Giants: Logan Webb (righty) – 9-11, 3.49 ERA
• Cubs: Justin Steele (lefty) – 15-3, 2.69 ERA

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Let’s break down the odds and my best bet for this matchup: 

Giants vs. Cubs odds, run line and total

Giants vs. Cubs prediction and pick

This game has UNDER written all over it. 

Both of these offenses have struggled as of late, ranking 21st (Chicago) and 25th (San Francisco) in OPS over the last 15 days. That’s not a great sign, and when we have such an elite pitching matchup, I’d be surprised if these teams combined for double-digit runs to hit the OVER. 

Steele is coming off a dazzling start, pitching six scoreless innings in a 1-0 win over the Milwaukee Brewers. He’s led the Cubs to a win in 18 of his 25 starts and has a Fielding Independent Pitching of just 3.08 on the season. 

Steele hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a start since May 26.

Webb has been extremely impressive as well in 2023, posting a FIP of 3.27 – which is lower than his ERA. 

While the Giants have only won 13 of his 28 starts, the righty has allowed three or fewer earned runs in 20 of his 28 starts in 2023. 

I also trust both of these bullpens, which have sub-4.00 ERAs this season, to keep each lineup in check once the starters exit. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's betting record here.