Chicago Cubs: Ranking each position's defensive strength
The Chicago Cubs are valuing run prevention in 2023, using a combination of upside pitching and elite defenders. Over the past few years, the Cubs organization has collected young arms to work on developing and the offseason has seen the addition of notable defenders. Here we will rank each position on the field in terms of its defensive strength.
Obviously, the projected 26-man Opening Day roster could look slightly different after Spring Training is over compared to now, but we will go with who is on the current 40-man and likely to make it. Most of what is in question are the position depth, with most starters being locks.
9.) 3B
Key players: Christopher Morel, Patrick Wisdom, Zach McKinstry, Edwin Rios, Nick Madrigal?
There is a lot of unknown at third and is easily seen as the team's "black hole". Morel last season had some inconsistency at third, ultimately sporting a -3 DRS (defensive runs saved), -14.8 UZR/150 (Ultimate Zone Rating runs above average per 150 defensive games) per FanGraphs, and committed four errors. Wisdom sported a -6 DRS after fielding much more efficiently in 2021. Morel is very young and can improve, we just do not know to what extent he will. The Cubs also made a surprising move Friday by signing former Dodger Edwin Rios, but his defensive metrics at third are not mind-blowing, a career -3 DRS and -25.1 URZ/150. Who gets how much playing time at third is so up in the air right now.
8.) 1B
Key players: Eric Hosmer, Trey Mancini, Patrick Wisdom, Edwin Rios, Matt Mervis
Whether or not Mervis makes the Opening Day roster, it can be speculated that Hosmer and Wisdom will play a decent amount of time at first. Rios can also play first as well, while Mancini will spend much time at DH. If Hosmer indeed gets decent playing time, then it will be interesting to see how he does defensively. He won four Gold Gloves from 2013-2017, however, his defensive metrics over the past few years have not reflected as well. Last season he sported a -5 DRS and -7.9 UZR/150. He has not had a positive DRS or UZR/150 since 2020. Wisdom sports a career 0 DRS and -13.9 UZR/150 at first, so nothing overly spectacular.
7.) Right field
Key players: Seiya Suzuki
The primary guy in right is going to be Suzuki as long as he is healthy. Last season we saw what a good arm he has; he was in the 82th percentile in arm strength in 2022 per baseballsavant. With that said, the route running and actual tracking of the ball needs some work. He posted a -4 DRS and was only in the 10 percentile in Outfielder Jump. Suzuki has some work to do in the field but has the tools to be a good defender. Manning right field at Wrigley is certainly not easy, especially for a rookie. We can maybe see Nelson Velázquez get a little time there if he makes the 26-man roster.
6.) Pitcher
Last season the Cubs pitching staff was right in the middle (14th) in baseball in staff DRS (-1). Adrian Sampson was the leader among starting pitchers (minimum 100 IP) in DRS (3) followed by Marcus Stroman (2). Do not expect Greg Maddux-like Gold Glove-caliber defense at the pitcher's mound, but not Jon Lester's throw-to-first bad either.
5.) Center Field
Key players: Cody Bellinger, Ian Happ, Christopher Morel
Bellinger will be slated to play the majority of centerfield for the Cubs. He sports a career of 14 DRS and 2.0 UZR/150. Cumulatively as an outfielder (left, center, right), he boasts a career of 34 DRS and 4.0 UZR/150. Last season he was solid in center field, with 0 DRS, 67th percentile Outfield Jump and 0.8 UZR/150, so nothing great but not below average. He has had seasons with more impressive defensive metrics but he can still hold his own out there. Morel can also play some time out there if he is not playing in the infield.
4.) Catcher
Key players: Yan Gomes, Tucker Barnhart
Both of these veteran catchers are known for their defense over their offense. Gomes worked very well with the Cubs pitching staff in 2022 and sports a career of 46 DRS and 19 rGFP (Good Fielding Plays Run Saved above average). Barnhart is a two-time Gold Glove winner and boasts a career 12 DRS and 28 rGFP. Last season was really tough for Barnhart, as he sported a career-worst -8 DRS. If he is healthier in 2023 and playing more like his usual self, he will be a positive force behind the plate.
3.) Shortstop
Key players: Dansby Swanson, Nico Hoerner
As long as he is healthy, Swanson is the guy at short. His 9 DRS and career-best 21OAA (Outst Above Average) helped him win a Gold Glove last year. His 2022 OAA was second-best in all of baseball last year. Swanson boasts a career 16 DRS and will be paired very well in the middle of the infield with Hoerner.
2.) Left field
Key players: Ian Happ, Trey Mancini
Happ won his first Gold Glove in 2022. His 13 DRS in left was second-best among qualifying left fielders in baseball, and his total 14 DRS in the outfield was sixth-best among all outfielders in baseball. He also posted an impressive 7.9 UZR/150 in left and was in the 78th percentile in Outfield Jump last year. If last year was a reflection of what Happ will be as an outfielder going forward, then the Cubs have themselves one dang good glove on their hands. Mancini has played in left before, though he probably will not get much time out there as long as Happ is healthy and playing most days. Wisdom and Nelson Velázquez can play out there as well.
1. Second base
Key players: Nico Hoerner, Nick Madrigal, Zach McKinstry
Hoerner's defense has been a marvel to watch over the past few years. He had spent last year at short, but now he moves back to second where he had previously played before. As a second baseman in the Majors, he sports a career of 10 DRS, 7.1 UZR/150, and 14 OAA. His play in the middle infield has been spectacular, and if he is healthy then there should not be defensive concerns at second. Dare we say he could be a legit Gold Glove candidate. Madrigal, if he is still part of the team come Opening Day, would be the second option. The organization still has David Bote but he was outrighted to Triple-A in November and is not on the current 40-man roster.