4 free agent relievers left who are a perfect fit for the Cubs
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With the relief market starting to thin in MLB free agency, The Chicago Cubs must gear up to make a move that will substantially increase the production of the bullpen. Jed Hoyer can ill-afford to wait for players to fall to him the way he can with position players such as Cody Bellinger.
The high-end relievers will all be highly sought after and paid handsomely this winter, and the bullpen is still a question mark for the Cubs heading into Spring Training next month. Now that Josh Hader, Robert Stephenson, David Robertson, and Aroldis Chapman are off the board; these four best remaining relievers are a perfect fit for the Cubs in 2024.
4 best relievers available - 4. Adam Ottavino
Over the past two seasons, Adam Ottavino has recorded a sparkly 2.62 ERA in 127.1 innings of work. Most recently, he spent those two seasons with the New York Mets, earning 14.5M with a 7.25M AAV. Given that he found success in both seasons, it's hard to imagine him getting anything less than that number. If you need a back-end reliever, such as the Chicago Cubs, it's time to pay up and strengthen the team for 2024.
4 best relievers available - 3. Wandy Peralta
Southpaw Wandy Peralta is another name the Cubs can swoop in for to make a dramatic acquisition to the bullpen. Regarding numbers, Peralta posted a 2.83 ERA, and although his FIP was alarming at 5.05, his batting average against was only .190. Mainly, this was due to him being in the bottom 5% of the league in BB%. However, he still owns a respectable 2.96 ERA combined in the last three seasons, so it's hard to argue too much.
Peralta throws four pitches in total. Three are above average, with his fastball/sinker combo and his changeup sitting in at least the 73rd percentile. He served as more of a setup man with the New York Yankees last season, but for the Cubs, he is the perfect compliment to Adbert Alzolay for manager Craig Counsell to utilize based on matchups late in ball games. The Cubs would be wise to swoop in here, even if they must up the ante and secure him on a multi-year deal.
4 best relievers available - 2. Mark Melancon
Mark Melancon has been one of the better relievers in baseball. Since 2018, he has owned a 3.30 ERA, which was inflated in 2022 when he recorded a 4.66 ERA (4.20 FIP). He missed last year due to a shoulder injury and decided he wasn't far enough along in his rehab process yet to rejoin the Diamondbacks for their postseason run. Now, three more months removed, Melancon figures to be healthy and good for 2024.
After the D-Backs declined Melancon's 5-million dollar option, he is now a free agent. The career 2.97 right-hander will likely be relatively inexpensive, given that he did miss all of last season. That coupled with entering his age-38 season, he can be a high-upside play for Jed Hoyer and the Cubs if he returns to form. This would be one of those roll-of-the-dice plays for the Cubs, but Melancon's 262 career saves are the type of experience the Cubs need more of on their roster.
4 best relievers available - 1. Hector Neris
At this point, Hector Neris is one of the most coveted arms left in free agency, and it wouldn't be surprising to see him secure a multi-year deal this winter. Coming off a superb 1.71 ERA season with the Houston Astros, he will test free agency at the perfect time. A couple of things. 2023 was by far his best season; his following best was 2019, when he recorded a 2.93. He was up and down in between; however, his numbers suggest he will remain effective moving forward.
In the past four seasons, Neris has had FIP recordings of 2.50 and 2.35 on years where his ERA was much higher. In 2023, his 3.83 FIP suggests he got pretty lucky to record a 1.71 ERA, but on the flip side, he has also spent a lot of time being unlucky. Since 2019, Neris has owned a 3.12 ERA and 3.47 FIP, which balances out nicely. With the Cubs emphasizing defense so much, his less-than-ideal 38.4% ground ball rate is less of an issue. He's not my favorite name on this list, but he's someone who can help the Cubs in 2024.
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