3 reasons why the Chicago Cubs will not win the World Series

The Chicago Cubs are on the precipice of their first playoff birth since 2020, but there are serious obstacle that are blocking them from another championship.

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs / Nuccio DiNuzzo/GettyImages
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We are seeing the Chicago Cubs return to contention this year, and this is arguably the most exciting time to watch Cubs baseball since 2019. There is an exciting core, a wealth of young prospects on their way up, and a free agent class to fill in gaps for next year. The future looks bright, but there are a few things standing in the team's path to another championship. Here are three reasons why the Chicago Cubs will probably not win the 2023 World Series.

1. The rotation is shaky

Aside from Justin Steele, the Cubs starting rotation is far from perfect. Steele may be in the Cy Young conversation and flash a sub-3 ERA, but he can't start every game. And even when he does, he rarely makes it past the 6th inning. Behind him are several arms that we don't quite know what we're going to get out of. Jameson Taillon was stringing together some decent starts at the end of July and early August, until a blow-up outing where he surrendered 8 earned runs to the Toronto Blue Jays. And before the All-Star break, the Cubs had won just 3 of the games where Taillon started.

Kyle Hendricks is more or less the same story. He has shown the ability to go out there and give you a quality start (9 on the year), but when he's not sharp it's difficult for the team to win. Perhaps the most alarming start for Hendricks was his game against the Atlanta Braves, who lit up the 33-year-old to the tune of 7 earned runs in just 4 innings. When elite hitters are in the opposing lineup, it's hard for Hendricks to fool them with his arsenal and his bad starts tax the already thin bullpen even further.

Marcus Stroman is also likely out for the season, leaving Javier Assad to take his place. Other than Steele, Assad is the most trustworthy arm in my eyes. The 26-year-old doesn't blow hitters away with velocity, but he has wicked movement on his breaking pitches and he has turned in two convincing starts against the Blue Jays and White Sox since joining the rotation. The fifth spot in the rotation is currently up in the air but the options are Drew Smyly, who was recently transferred to the bullpen after struggling mightily in the rotation, and Hayden Wesneski, who is the only long-reliever in the bullpen right now.

That leaves the options in Iowa, where top prospect Jordan Wicks is likely the next in line to see playing time at the big league level. Wicks has started seven games for Iowa where he has thrown 33 innings and struck out 30 hitters with a 3.82 ERA. I would bring him up soon to see what he can offer the big-league squad.

2. David Ross's weird lineups

While manager David Ross should be commended for fostering a winning environment, I can't help but wonder how many games they could have won if Ross didn't insist on playing so many underperforming players. It wasn't until the front office took away players like Eric Hosmer, Trey Mancini, and Miles Mastrobuoni that Ross stopped putting them in the lineup consistently. Even now, when every game matters and the Cubs are trying to claw their way to a playoff spot, Ross gives us head-scratching lineups.

When his team had a chance to sweep the Blue Jays last Sunday, he turned in a lineup card that featured Patrick Wisdom starting at first base and Nick Madrigal at third while Mike Tauchman and Jeimer Candelario rode the bench. Not to mention there was an off day the following day. This idea of spreading the at-bats around to the bench guys is something that is contributing to the team's losses and it needs to stop immediately. The Cubs need every win they can get and that means putting the best players in the lineup to start every day. If that means starting Mike Tauchman against a left-handed pitcher, for the sake of winning please do it.

3. The Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers

The other main thing holding the Cubs back is the fact that they are just not as good as some other teams in the National League. I do however believe that the Cubs are the best team in the NL Central and that there is a good chance they will finish in first place ahead of the Brewers. Even if this happens though, there are serious obstacles when the playoffs come around mainly in the form of the Braves and the Dodgers.

The Braves are putting up some of the most impressive offensive numbers in MLB history and they currently have six players with 20 or more home runs, including Matt Olson who holds the league lead with 43. Not to mention their elite starting rotation of Charlie Morton (3.54 ERA), Bryce Elder (3.46 ERA), Max Fried (2.57 ERA), and Spencer Strider (217 strikeouts).

The other National League juggernaut is the Dodgers, who may have lost Trea Turner and Cody Bellinger in the offseason but still boast one of the best lineups in the league. Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman are among the league leaders in OPS (.973 and .996 respectively) and several other above-average hitters surround them like J.D. Martinez, Max Muncy, and Will Smith. Overall, the Dodgers and Braves are stacked teams that would likely overwhelm the Cubs in the playoffs.

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