As far as we know, Kyle Tucker enjoyed playing his home games at Wrigley Field in 2025. He said as much during the Chicago Cubs' playoff run, crediting the ignitable fanbase for their passion and love of the game.
However, the stats tell another story. The right fielder experienced quite the swing in production when playing on the road rather than at home this year, with his wRC+ dropping more than 40 points at the Friendly Confines.
Kyle Tucker 2025 Home v. Road Splits
- Home: .236/.353/.395, .159 ISO, .253 BABIP, 113 wRC+
- Road: .292/.399/.524, .232 ISO, .310 BABIP, 156 wRC+
Notably, Tucker hit just seven of his 22 home runs at Wrigley Field. The down-the-line right field dimensions certainly didn't help, and it's possible something with the stadium itself (the wind, the appearance of the batter's eye, etc.) changed his approach at home.
None of that necessarily means Tucker is going to leave in free agency — his contract projections probably guarantee that anyway — but it may serve as yet another factor going against the Cubs.
That's doubly true when you start playing some dangerous games, like overlaying his batted balls in Yankee Stadium.
Every Kyle Tucker non-HR from 2025 that would have been a HR at Yankee Stadium pic.twitter.com/tqrCKdXqHF
— Ryan Garcia (@RyanGarciaESM) October 28, 2025
Kyle Tucker is a poor fit for Wrigley Field, which could make it even harder to keep him in free agency
Had Tucker played all of his games in 2025 in Wrigley Field, he would have ended up with 23 home runs based on his batted ball data. Place him in Yankee Stadium, and that number balloons to 34.
Obviously, as someone searching for a life-changing and rest-of-his-career contract, Tucker's fit in any prospective stadium doesn't really matter that much anymore. He's already done everything he needs to in order to secure his mega-deal, and just because Yankee Stadium would gift him an extra 10 home runs per year doesn't mean he should prioritize signing with the Yankees.
Then again, with great money comes great expectations. If Tucker really does have plans to make his next destination the final one of his career, it'd behoove him not to stink up the joint and create some animosity within the fanbase.
Also, insofar as he cares about legacy, an additional 100 home runs over the life of a 10-year contract would also put Tucker in a much more friendly light when all is said and done.
Now, you can actually argue that all of this should actually make Tucker sick, seeing as he'd have quite a bit more on his résumé to point to in free agency negotiations. As the best available player on the market, it shouldn't matter too much, but there's a stark difference between a 22-homer bat and a 34-homer bat.
So, is this the final nail in the coffin for Tucker's tenure in Chicago? Probably not, even when you factor in his struggles at Wrigley.
However, it could mean that the Cubs have to go even more above and beyond to retain him, which, considering the suitors they'll be contending with for his services, may simply price Tucker out of their comfort zone.
