Who are the 5 best players drafted by the Chicago Cubs?
The June player draft has existed since the 1965 season, and has become a paramount method for building a successful roster. The Chicago Cubs have had their share of hits and misses in the draft, but the five best players they’ve drafted were among the best in the game for at least part of their careers.
We’ll rely on the Baseball Reference version of WAR here. The stat line for each player shows the year drafted followed by the round. And note that the WAR numbers for pitchers include their hitting contributions (or “contributions”) – that’s why they’re a little different than just the pitching WAR you’ll see in Baseball Reference.
#5 Lee Smith (1975/2), 28.9 career WAR
In his first four professional seasons Smith was mainly a starter. In every one of those seasons, the right-hander walked more batters than he struck out; his K/BB ratio in 1979, the last of those four seasons, was an abysmal 0.54. After 448 innings over these four seasons, Smith looked like a failure.
These results might have shattered a lesser man, but Smith had a will like railroad steel. His first year as a reliever, the 1980 season, was the first in which his strikeouts exceeded his walks. After achieving that modest success at Triple-A,, the Cubs promoted him. (It didn’t take much to break into the Cubs’ staff back then.)
Needless to say, it worked. Over his eight seasons with the Cubs Smith put up a 2.29 ERA, a 134 ERA+, and saved 180 games for a franchise that was under .500 every year during that span except 1984. He generated about two-thirds of his career WAR with the Cubs, laying the groundwork for his ultimate induction into the Hall of Fame.
Chicago Cubs: An MVP and a criminally underrated starting pitcher
#4 Josh Donaldson (2007/1), 44.4 career WAR
From ages 27 through 33, Donaldson had a Hall of Fame-caliber career. Here’s a list of wild-card era players by WAR over that age span. It’s moneywalled, but to give a sense of it, Donaldson accumulated 39.5 WAR, just ahead of Adrian Beltre (38.7) and a bit behind Joey Votto (41.0). Yet Donaldson will likely get into the Hall the same way as the rest of us: by buying a ticket.
This is because he was a very late bloomer; his age-27 season was also his first complete season as a lineup regular. It’s relatively rare for players to start this late and get this good. Al Rosen, who manned the hot corner for the Spiders in the early Cold War years, is close, but Donaldson has already been better than Rosen, and he’s still chugging along at 35, while Rosen was done by 32.
The other thing Rosen and Donaldson have in common is that they produced the exact same amount of WAR for the Cubs (0.0). The Cubs missed on Donaldson, but given the rarity of his career path, it’s hard to be too harsh on them for that.
#3 Rick Reuschel (1970/3), 69.5 career WAR
There’s a decent argument that Reuschel is the best eligible pitcher not in the Hall of Fame. Looking at the guys above him on the pitching WAR list, let’s see, Kevin Brown’s not in. Jim McCormick, a 19th century guy, isn’t in. And … that’s about it. Kershaw and Verlander will almost certainly go in; Kershaw’s WAR is currently 69.1 and Verlander’s is 72.2. Yet Reuschel received only two more Hall of Fame votes than you did. Perhaps he was born too soon; voters today give more weight to a broader set of statistical performance indicators and less to raw win totals.
Chicago Cubs: Two stars you can’t help but wonder about – even now
#2 Rafael Palmeiro (1985/1), 71.9 career WAR
There’s no argument about Palmeiro: He is easily the best eligible first baseman not in the Hall. And there’s no mystery regarding his exclusion: He’s perceived as putting too many things in his body with long names ending in “-one.” But of the Cubs’ 99 problems, Raffy surely ain’t one; they dispatched him to the Republic of Texas after the 1988 season, long before ‘roids were a thing.
That was, in retrospect, a trade of Brock-Broglian proportions. The major leaguers the Cubs got in return were – and sensitive readers may wish to look away here – Mitch Williams, Steve Wilson, Paul Kilgus, and Curtis Wilkerson.
Yikes. These guys combined to contribute -0.2 WAR (yes, that little dash is a minus sign) to the Cubs during their stay on the North Side. Only Williams made a positive contribution, and only at the price of shortening the life of any teammate or fan who watched him pitch as though he were facing a giraffe’s strike zone.
As with Brock, the sin wasn’t trading Palmeiro. The Cubs had good young players ready to serve at the only two positions Palmeiro could credibly play: first (Mark Grace) and left (Dwight Smith). The sin was getting so little in return. The Cubs needed pitching, and while we don’t know what other offers GM Jim Frey might have had, trading Palmeiro for one better pitcher would have been more optimal than trading for three shaky ones.
#1 Greg Maddux (1984/2), 106.6 career WAR
Ten demerits if you didn’t guess this one. The Cubs decided they really didn’t need Greg Maddux after his absolutely filthy 1992 season. He was then just 26 years old and already the 19th best Cubs pitcher of all time. During his first shift with the Cubs, Maddux had a 3.35 ERA, 114 ERA+, 95 wins, and 26.4 WAR (that put him just behind Bill Hands). Maddux would finish as the 11th best Cubs hurler, after earning his Hall of Fame spurs in another city with a really busy airport.