Chicago Cubs: As the baseball turns in the ongoing Kris Bryant saga

(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
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(Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images) /

The Chicago Cubs Kris Bryant is the most traded player who won’t be traded.  Here are five reasons why and let’s move on, please.

But first, the Chicago Cubs Kris Bryant for Nolan Arenado? That’s the biggest laugh of the offseason, and there have been plenty in the soap opera that is the Kris Bryant saga.

On that one, the Hot Stove blew up, the MLB Trade Rumors site crashed, and it made my head hurt like an ice cream headache just listening to all pundits and fans rave about the possibility.

Maybe you’ve heard, or perhaps not so I’ll reiterate, the Cubs are not going over the 2020 threshold.  They are not doing it.  So Arenado and his massive contract would add AFTER you subtract Bryant’s $18.6 million contract, $14.0 million to the 2020 payroll on top of the $4.0 million to $6.0 million already in excess of the threshold right now. That’s $18-$20 million over. It is not happening.

Chicago Cubs: There is no one to play third

There is no one on the current roster or down on the farm to play third.  Say David Bote, and I’ll curse you a White Sox fan.  According to FanGraphs, Bote’s career fielding percentage at third base is .945, and he chalked up a -4.7 UZR-150 in 2019.  The only position he’s worse at is shortstop.  A season of Bote clanking plays at third, and you’ll be screaming at Theo for trading Bryant.

That’s not to mention the decline in offensive production.  Trading Bryant to play Bote at third is a teardown move, and the Cubs are not tearing down.

(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Chicago Cubs: Bryant is worth every dime of his $18.6 arbitration deal

Anthony Rendon, Arenado, Manny Machado, and even Justin Turner all have deals that are more lucrative than Bryant’s $18.6 million this year.  So let’s look at Josh Donaldson.  He just signed for $23 million AAV with the Twins.

A 34-year-old just scored a deal better than 28-year-old Kris Bryant’s contract.  In 2019 Donaldson slashed .259/.379/.521 with a .900 OPS. Add in his 37 HRs and 94 RBIs, and he made it rain alright.  That got him his four-year, $92 million deal.

Bryant, who no one thinks has done a thing since 2016, slashed .282/.382/.521 with a .903 OPS.  He out hit and scored more runs than Donaldson.  Mr. Make it Rain hit just six more home runs.  Think Bryant is overpaid? Think again. He’s the best deal at third-base outside of guys named Matt Chapman, Eugenio Suárez, or Rafael Devers.

Plus, Bryant can play multiple positions (1B, either corner outfield spot) quite well.  I do not think we’ll ever see Rendon or Arenado patrolling the green grass at Angel Stadium or Coors Field.

Chicago Cubs: Trading one guy doesn’t “restock the farm”

Outside of the Bryant for Arenado insanity, this is the most foolish argument for trading Bryant.  You do not trade a player of Bryant’s caliber to “restock the farm” unless you are tearing it down to rebuild.

Again, the Cubs are not tearing down.  If they were entering a rebuild, Willson Contreras, Kyle Schwarber, Kyle Hendricks, even Javy Baez, and Anthony Rizzo, besides Bryant, would all be shopped.  By now, at least one of them would be gone.  Yet, still nothing, despite all the talk of “a reckoning,” and no one being untouchable.

As for Bryant’s grievance holding up anything? Nonsense.  No one believed he would win that grievance.  Nothing stopped Theo from setting up a deal pending the decision.

(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Chicago Cubs: Kiss that 2021 World Series win goodbye

There is so much to unpack here.  Bryant is angry over the service time issue; Scott Boras never allows extensions and always wants his players to test the market; KB wants a billion-dollar deal and already turned down an extension for (fill in the blank); so he’s going to leave after 2021, and we won’t get anything.

More from Cubbies Crib

No, Bryant is not angry at the Cubs over the service time issue.  His grievance was all about the CBA service time provision, not the Cubs.  If he were mad at the Cubs, we’d know it by now.  Want to see what angry at your front office looks like?  Google “Nolan Arenado is mad at the Rockies.”

Plus, people seem to think it’s some kind of catastrophe if KB hits 2021 in his last contract year. So what? The Washington Nationals went into 2019 with Anthony Rendon, Stephen Strasburg, and Ryan Zimmerman in the final year of their contracts.

Now think for a minute.  If the Nats had done what fans and writers are saying the Cubs should do with Bryant, the Nats would have traded Rendon and/or Strasburg back in 2017.  Kiss the 2019 World Series win goodbye.

Then after winning the 2019 World Series, the Nats resigned Strasburg and Zimmerman.  See, not that difficult.

Chicago Cubs: An extension is possible

Bryant and Boras have said they are open to extension talks.  But I don’t think the Cubs will extend anyone until after the 2020 season. First: they want to stay under the 2020 CBA threshold of $218 million.  Second: the Cubs will have greater financial flexibility after this season. Three:  I believe Theo and the gang want to see who steps up this season.

Next. Staying healthy is the key for success in 2020. dark

So what could a Bryant extension look like at the end of 2020?  Arenado ($32.5 million AAV), Rendon ($35.0 million AAV), and Machado ($32.0 million AAV with the signing bonus) all have seven to ten-year deals.  I could see an offer of 8 years between $29-$30 million AAV.  Add in a couple of opt-outs and maybe an NTC, and I think you’re rounding third, and he’ll be worth every penny.

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