Chicago Cubs: Check in on this year’s Arizona Fall League
As the postseason begins, the Arizona Fall League is also underway. The Chicago Cubs also have several young talents showcasing their talents this fall.
The Minor League Baseball season came to a close a couple of weeks ago and now it’s time for clubs’ prospects to continue their development in the Arizona Fall League. Given the outcome at the big league level, you know the Chicago Cubs are keeping a close eye on their prospects as they chart out the coming years.
The big league Cubs may not be in the postseason. However, there was still a success in the organization in 2019. The Class-A South Bend Cubs enjoyed a championship-winning year, sweeping the Finals in the Midwest League playoffs to claim the position as top dogs.
Now 10 games into the AFL, we dive into what has been going on and focus in on how those young, hopefully, future, Cubs are performing. The team has seven members of their various minor league affiliates playing this season in the AFL. How is it shaping up for the major league hopefuls?
Chicago Cubs: All systems go for Miguel Amaya
The Cubs’ current number two overall prospect experienced an uptick in production in his age-20 season. Moving from Class-A South Bend in 2018 to Class-A Advanced Myrtle Beach this year, Miguel Amaya is showcasing his future talents and what he can bring to the Cubs in a few years.
Amaya finished with a better strikeout rating in 2019, lowering it from 19.0 percent in 2018 to 16.8 percent this season. He saw his walk rate increase from 10.4 percent to 13.2 percent, displaying greater patience at the plate. His wOBA increased from .345 to .354 and Amaya finished with a 122 wRC+, eight points higher from the previous season.
So far in the AFL, Amaya has seen action in five games, with 16 at-bats. He is currently sitting on a .375/.524/.500 line with four RBI and five walks. In three of those five games, Amaya has multiple hits. In two contests, Amaya walked multiple times and has just one game where he struck out at least twice.
Amaya is hopefully in line as the team’s future backstop and being just 20 years old he has a ton of time to continue developing. He is an impressive young backstop and as catchers are not a dime a dozen, the hope is he can turn into a long-term stud for the team.
Chicago Cubs: Zack Short and Jared Young struggling
The club has two infield prospects down in Arizona in Zack Short and Jared Young. Short spent his 2019 season at Triple-A with the Iowa Cubs while Young played his season at Double-A with the Tennessee Smokies.
Short found it tough going in Iowa this season, finishing with a .211/.338/.414 line with six home runs and 17 RBI in 41 games. He struggled to curb his strikeout rate, seeing it rise to 31.3 percent. So far through his first few games in the AFL, Short is slashing just .208/.367/.375 with a home run and a two RBI. Sill only 24 years old, Short has shown flashes of brilliance. He may not be the answer for the long-term, however.
Regarding Jared Young, he is another guy who is similar to Short when it comes to his up-and-down production. Last season, in 123 games for the Smokies, Young slashed an uninspiring .235/.297/.319 with five home runs and 57 RBI. He posted a .287 wOBA with an 80 wRC+.
Unfortunately for Young, he is riding the struggle bus in the AFL. Through his first four games, Young has just one hit in 16 at-bats. He is sporting a .063/.118/.063 line with a sole RBI. The positive spin for Young is his lack of strikeouts. In the 16 at-bats, Young has struck out only one time. As is the case with Short, Young may not, unfortunately, find a spot with the big league club. Hopefully, though, he can turn it around heading into next season.
Chicago Cubs: An up-and-down pitching affair
Last but not least are the arms. The Cubs have four pitchers down in Arizona right now, and it has been kind of all over the place. All four guys are currently at Double-A Tennessee and are hopeful they can use this time as a springboard into next season.
Scott Effross was part of the 2015 amateur draft class for the Cubs, selected in the 15th round. He bounced around Rookie-level, Class-A Advanced, and Double-A in 2019, having a wavy season. At Myrtle Beach, Effross posted a respectable 1.84 ERA across 14 2/3 innings in relief.
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He managed a very solid 2.02 FIP and 2.68 xFIP, respectively. Unfortunately, it did not last at the next level. In 33 2/3 innings at Tennessee, across 17 games including one start, Effross posted a 5.88 ERA and saw his FIP and xFIP double.
In his two games in the AFL thus far, Effross has throw 2 2/3 scoreless innings with three strikeouts. He has allowed opposing hitters a .364 average. While Effross may never be an impact pitcher, he could have future value for the Cubs a couple of years down the line.
Jordan Minch is the next guy up. Minch spent the majority of 2019 at Tennessee, amassing a less-than-stellar 4.69 ERA across 44 games. Disappointingly for Minch, it has only gotten worse over the past few seasons. His ERA has risen in three straight seasons and struggles to keep the ball in the yard. Through three games in the AFL, Minch is sporting a 4.91 ERA. The glass half full with Minch is his strikeouts, which he has seven and his lowly .267 average against.
Keegan Thompson is the third guy on the list. Thompson was hit with the injury bug this season, as he only made three starts across the year. Notably, Thompson threw five shutout innings in his lone start at Double-A, recording eight strikeouts. He is only 24 years old and should find his way to the big leagues in a few years. Currently, he is pitching well in Arizona, posting a 3.00 ERA across his first two starts.
Erich Uelmen is the final guy on the list. Uelmen began 2019 at Myrtle Beach, posting a solid 3.05 ERA over 11 starts. After moving up to Tennessee, however, Uelmen struggled mightily. His walk rate increased tenfold, and Uelmen saw his ERA jump to a whopping 7.76. Thus far at Arizona, Uelmen has appeared in two games, posting a 2.25 ERA in four innings. Uelmen could find himself in a relief role in the future at the major league level if he can slog through the muck and get back to producing.