Chicago Cubs will have their hands full against loaded Mets staff
The Chicago Cubs face a tall task this week in Queens, taking on the three best arms in the surging New York Mets starting rotation on the road.
I’m not sure whether to be encouraged or discouraged by the fact the Chicago Cubs had Monday off after suffering a brutal three-game sweep at home at the hands of the Washington Nationals. On one hand, at least in theory, it allows the team to take a step back and clean the slate a bit. On the other, I’ve always personally liked getting right back after it following a tough loss.
We’ve known for a while now the Cubs’ home performance probably wasn’t sustainable. They’d been playing out of their minds at Wrigley Field for pretty much the entirety of the season and this weekend, that came to an abrupt stop. Despite not having to face the Nationals’ Max Scherzer or Patrick Corbin, Chicago boarded their flight to the Big Apple without a win – staring up at not only the Cardinals in the Central but also Washington in the Wild Card race.
Now, they’re tasked with squaring off against the likes of Marcus Stroman, Noah Syndergaard and Jacob deGrom. Pair those matchups with the fact the Cubs have been nothing short of embarrassing on the road and, well, the next three days could get really uncomfortable for fans.
Chicago Cubs need to find ways to manufacture more runs
On the year, Joe Maddon‘s Chicago Cubs are barely above league average in terms of offense, scoring 4.91 runs per game (league average is 4.85). The same rings true with their 98 OPS+ which narrowly exceeds the league average of 97.
We all know by now that the Cubs score a lot of runs via the long ball. The team ranks fourth among National League clubs with 203 home runs – and they’re on pace to set an all-time franchise best in that category. It’s also the first time Chicago has ever had four players with 25+ homers in a season – and there are still five weeks left in the season.
They hit a lot of homers, don’t make a lot of contact and swing and miss a lot – the result? A very sporadic offense that makes you drink on some days – well, every day – just for very different reasons. Maddon recognized that the Nationals beat the Cubs three times this weekend by doing what he wishes his group would do – play dynamic baseball.
“What [Washington] demonstrated,” Maddon told MLB.com, “is even if you’re not hitting home runs on a particular day, you can manufacture runs. … Incorporating all kinds of methods within your one lineup is definitely the best way to do it. And right now, they are really taking advantage of [hot hitters] at the top with great speed and great contact ability.”
What to take away from all this? As exciting as this team can be if they don’t get past their overreliance on the home run, this season could end far sooner than any of us would like. It starts this week at Citi Field.
Chicago Cubs: Mets capable of playing spoiler yet again
When the Mets decided to add rather than sell at the trade deadline, everyone laughed. When I say everyone, I mean everyone. As of July 31, Fangraphs pegged the Mets’ postseason chances at a measly 19.1 percent. Meanwhile, Chicago sat at 78.6 percent – not a slam dunk, but a number you feel pretty good about.
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Fast forward nearly a month. New York enters this three-game series with 31.7 percent chances. So their odds, while still not even close to 50/50 are notably better than they were. The Cubs? Well, they’ve essentially fallen the same amount the Mets have climbed – entering Tuesday at 66.7 percent.
The Cubs’ horrendous road record has erased any trace of momentum they might have gained from their strong play at home. So now having to go on the road and take on the Mets (and their three strongest starters at that) doesn’t make you feel great – to say the least.
As Bleacher Nation pointed out Monday, the Cubs have put themselves in quite the predicament. Any three-game sweep in front of your home fans is bad.
But in losing three straight to the Nationals, Chicago not only lost ground in the division but enter Tuesday four back of Washington for the top Wild Card Spot. The Mets, meanwhile, are just two games behind Chicago for the second spot.
Oh, goody.
So what I’m telling you is it’s time to hope the Cubs finally get their act together on the road. If they don’t, by the time they return to Wrigley Field on Friday to take on the rival Milwaukee Brewers, they may very well be out of a postseason berth altogether – with the Mets in a position to return to October.