Chicago Cubs: Trading Kyle Schwarber could have a domino effect
For the past two years, Kyle Schwarber has been one of the most polarizing figures for the Chicago Cubs and he remains a potential trade chip.
Fans were in awe of his majestic home runs during his rookie season in 2015, and his heroic World Series return in 2016 after suffering a torn ACL in April of the same year made him somewhat of a legend among Chicago Cubs fans.
But Schwarber endured a tumultuous 2017 that, at one point, saw him demoted to Triple-A Iowa. Despite turning in his best all-around season yet in 2018, many fans are beginning to wonder if his talent has plateaued.
Schwarber saw an increase in his walk rate and subsequent decrease in his strikeout rate while his wRC+ rose from 103 in 2017 to 115 in 2018, according to FanGraphs. He also tied with Lorenzo Cain for the most outfield assists in the National League and showed marked improvement with the glove.
However, the former number four overall pick hit four fewer home runs despite notching 24 more plate appearances, while also struggling to make an impact in leveraged hitting situations.
It is no secret that Schwarber has been considered a trade piece for the past couple of years, particularly for American League teams that could choose to slot him into their lineup as a designated hitter.
Interestingly enough, there is a deal the Cubs could make involving an American League club that is likely to lose their DH to free agency and actively looking to rebuild.
Chicago Cubs: Schwarber (and more) for Diaz is mutually beneficial
The Seattle Mariners have become the foremost “sellers” of this offseason so far, having already dealt Mike Zunino and former staff ace James Paxton. The Mariners will also be losing Nelson Cruz to free agency, freeing up a spot at designated hitter.
Meanwhile, the Cubs were dealt another bullpen blow as Jesse Chavez decided to return to the Texas Rangers on a two-year deal worth $8 million. And although he was excellent when healthy, Brandon Morrow hardly feels like a reliable option as a full-time closer.
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So naturally, a trade involving Schwarber and Mariners closer Edwin Diaz seems to make sense. The Mariners get a young, powerful bat to add to their lineup while the Cubs lock down their closer of the future.
Of course, the Mariners would likely ask for multiple prospects in any package for Diaz, and Adbert Alzolay and Nico Hoerner probably make sense. The Cubs might be happy to oblige, given the opportunity to solidify a bullpen unit that Theo Epstein seems to shake up every season.
The numbers make sense financially. Schwarber has three pending years of arbitration while Diaz has one more year of team control before his arbitration period begins. The real question is whether Mariners GM Jerry Dipoto is willing to part with Diaz, and, in turn, whether Epstein is amenable to shipping Schwarber (and his top prospects).
If this hypothetical deal were to play out, it could be the start of a larger domino effect for the rest of Chicago’s offseason.
Chicago Cubs: Schwarber out, Harper in?
With Schwarber departing in this scenario, that opens up a hole in left field for the Cubs. Naturally, it would be easy to merely plug Ian Happ or Ben Zobrist into that spot on a daily basis.
But instead, let’s revisit signing Bryce Harper. Aside from the money, one of the concerns with signing Harper was creating a logjam in the outfield. In this case, the Cubs can now sign Harper too, in essence, replace Schwarber while also masking some of his defensive deficiencies in left field.
The Cubs would still have the ability to try to move Happ or even alternate him at second base with Ben Zobrist, who is also likely to reprise his role as a super utility player under Joe Maddon.
While signing Harper would certainly stimulate a buzz on the North Side and shake up the league, it would also prohibit the Cubs from signing a marquee left-handed reliever like Andrew Miller or Zach Britton.
So, they would have to stay in-house – or, at the very least, with a familiar face.
Chicago Cubs: Lastly, re-signing Justin Wilson
With a Harper deal essentially maxing the Cubs out in terms of payroll, Theo Epstein and Jed Hoyer would be wise to bring back Justin Wilson.
The 31-year-old was a quality left-handed option for Joe Maddon down the stretch and posted an 11.4 K/9 last season. Imagine a bullpen that included Wilson, Morrow, Pedro Strop and Diaz. That is some serious firepower.
Regardless of your predispositions towards Schwarber, this is a hypothetical full of intrigue and one that satisfies a team need as well as the plethora of fans in Chicago that are chomping at the bit for Harper.
And since Epstein has made it very clear that nobody is untouchable, such a scenario is entirely plausible.