Chicago Cubs: What is Ben Zobrist’s role moving forward?

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 12: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs celebrates with Willson Contreras #40 of the Chicago Cubs on a double hit by Addison Russell #27 of the Chicago Cubs against the Washington Nationals during the fifth inning in game five of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 12, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 12: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs celebrates with Willson Contreras #40 of the Chicago Cubs on a double hit by Addison Russell #27 of the Chicago Cubs against the Washington Nationals during the fifth inning in game five of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 12, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
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WASHINGTON, DC – OCTOBER 12: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs celebrates with Willson Contreras #40 of the Chicago Cubs on a double hit by Addison Russell #27 of the Chicago Cubs against the Washington Nationals during the fifth inning in game five of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 12, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC – OCTOBER 12: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs celebrates with Willson Contreras #40 of the Chicago Cubs on a double hit by Addison Russell #27 of the Chicago Cubs against the Washington Nationals during the fifth inning in game five of the National League Division Series at Nationals Park on October 12, 2017 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /

With two years left on his contract and coming off a down year, Ben Zobrist’s role with the Chicago Cubs moving forward is a bit cloudy.

When the Chicago Cubs signed Ben Zobrist ahead of the 2016 season, it marked the end of Starlin Castro‘s time on the North Side. Castro’s career with the Cubs was filled with ambivalence from fans.

For years he was one of the few bright spots on some truly atrocious Chicago Cubs teams. But his tenure with them wasn’t without periods of unnecessary drama. So when they traded him to New York in order to give Zobrist the job, it was a sign that the Cubs were deadly serious about ending their record-long championship drought imminently.

Now, two years later, Zobrist’s place with the Cubs is met with a significant degree of uncertainty. While he was widely known as a utility player before signing with the Cubs, one condition of his before inking a deal was that he’d primarily play second base. That positional security is no longer guaranteed for Zobrist. In fact, his role as a full-time starter may be waning.

PHILADELPHIA, PA – AUGUST 26: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs high fives Javier Baez #9 after hitting a two run home run in the top of the ninth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on August 26, 2017 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Cubs defeated the Phillies 17-2. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA, PA – AUGUST 26: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs high fives Javier Baez #9 after hitting a two run home run in the top of the ninth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on August 26, 2017 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Cubs defeated the Phillies 17-2. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

Changing of the guard

Zobrist signed with the Chicago Cubs in early December of 2015 for four years and $56 million. This also included a full no-trade clause for the first three years of the deal. This doesn’t mean Zobrist can’t be traded, but it does mean he can block a proposed trade to any team in the league.

Throughout his career, Zobrist’s defensive versatility has proven to be invaluable to the teams he’s played for. Though he’s played the majority of his time at second base, he’s also logged 3,833 2/3 innings in the outfield and 1,777 innings at shortstop.

The Chicago Cubs have now reached a point where Zobrist will need to further embrace that defensive flexibility if he wishes to continue playing a large role on the team.

The future of the second base position in Chicago looks increasingly like it belongs to Javier Baez. Ben Zobrist started 113 games at second base in 2016, compared to just 65 games in 2017. Meanwhile, Baez started 38 games at second base in 2016 and 56 games in 2017. If those trends continue in 2018, and it’s likely they will, Baez will start more games at second base than Zobrist.

CHICAGO, IL – OCTOBER 17: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs looks on before game three of the National League Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Wrigley Field on October 17, 2017 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL – OCTOBER 17: Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs looks on before game three of the National League Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Wrigley Field on October 17, 2017 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Looking at the numbers

Ben Zobrist’s career could best be described with one word: dependable. His numbers generally don’t stand out, and he’s not known as a flashy player. But at every position he plays and on both sides of the plate (he’s a switch hitter), he’s as reliable as they come. He rarely makes mistakes. For the most part, you know exactly what to expect from the 12-year veteran.

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The 2017 season was a bit of a different story, though. His defense was sound as usual, but he took a fairly sizable step back at the plate. His offensive regression could simply be seen as nothing more than a down year. But Zobrist will turn 37 before next season begins, so it’s only natural to wonder if his age is playing a role in this decline.

Struggles abound in 2017

Zobrist has posted a robust career slash line of .263/.355/.428 with 157 home runs and 693 RBI. After being named an All-Star for the third time in his career in 2016, Zobrist slashed .232/.318/.375 with 12 home runs and 50 RBI this past season.

A 123 wRC+ player in 2016, he was merely an 82 wRC+ player in 2017. Disregarding his first couple of seasons when he was just breaking into the league, 2017 was by far the worst season of his career. Over the course of his career, Zobrist has been worth an average of 3.6 WAR per year. He was worth a paltry 0.3 WAR in 2017.

Again, this could be nothing more than a down year. Or it could be he’s entering the twilight years of his career. The more likely explanation is that both things are true. Sure, some players do slip through the cracks and dominate into their late thirties. But they’re the exception, not the norm.

PHOENIX, AZ – AUGUST 13: InfielderPHOENIX, AZ – AUGUST 13: Infielder Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs in action during the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on August 13, 2017 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Cubs defeated the Diamondbacks 7-2. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) Ben Zobrist
PHOENIX, AZ – AUGUST 13: InfielderPHOENIX, AZ – AUGUST 13: Infielder Ben Zobrist #18 of the Chicago Cubs in action during the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on August 13, 2017 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Cubs defeated the Diamondbacks 7-2. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) Ben Zobrist /

 The times they are a-changin’

Zobrist is seeing less time at second base and more time in the outfield. That’s probably going to continue into 2018. Being even more of a utility player looks to be his role at this point. Baez has his flaws at the plate, but he’s young and may yet figure things out. But regardless, he looks to be the superior defender at second base.

One could argue Baez is just as reliable as Zobrist when playing second base. But Baez also has a certain expeditiousness to his game that Zobrist does not. He may well be the best tagger in all of baseball. The duo of Baez and Willson Contreras on throw-downs is absolutely lethal. The Cubs should justifiably want more of that.

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At least for this year, Zobrist probably isn’t going anywhere. But he may begin to see more of a diminished role. This means less starts at second base and more appearances in the outfield. Possibly even less starts overall. That will depend on whether or not he rebounds with the bat.

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