Chicago Cubs: Why the Cubs shouldn’t re-sign John Lackey

Apr 6, 2017; St. Louis, MO, USA; Chicago Cubs starting pitcher John Lackey (41) pitches against the St. Louis Cardinals during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 6, 2017; St. Louis, MO, USA; Chicago Cubs starting pitcher John Lackey (41) pitches against the St. Louis Cardinals during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports /
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Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports /

If a young starter were struggling the way Lackey is right now, that would be one thing.  But John Lackey is not a young starter.

John Lackey has never really been a ‘dominant’ pitcher at any point in his career.  The closest he was to being dominant was in 2014 when he pitched to a 2.77 ERA in 33 games for the rival Cardinals.

2014 is the only season he pitched to under a three ERA (he had a 3.01 ERA in 2007, but that still doesn’t count).  Other than those two years, Lackey is a guy with a career ERA in the fours, which isn’t particularly stellar.

His numbers have jumped significantly from last year to this year.  Even though it’s a small sample size, his ERA went up 1.91 points, his ERA+ is down 42 points, and he is surrounding 1.2 more homers per nine.

If you’ve watched games, Lackey seemingly always gives up a few runs in the first few innings and then battles his way to pitch six innings of five run ball.  That isn’t exactly worth a whopping 16 million big ones.