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Chicago Cubs: Predicting the starting rotation for the playoffs
Jake Arrieta
Yes, I honestly believe the Chicago Cubs’ chances of winning the NL Pennant is pitching Jake Arrieta third. Overall, his performance is solid, but not dominant like in 2015. Arrieta is still a great pitcher, but pitching on the road may be best this post-season.
In his 14 games at Wrigley, Arrieta is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA allowing 29 runs. Compare that to his stats on the road: 11-2, 3.11 ERA, 32 runs. “Wait a second? His home stats are actually better!” I hear your argument now. The truth of the matter is that the Cubs win on the road when Arrieta pitches.
Look at it this way: When Arrieta does not pitch at Wrigley, the team is 45-17. On the road, they are 31-30. He is needed on the road!
Why not put him in a place where you know he can succeed and help the team? He has already proven to be a road-warrior. To win the NLCS, the Cubs will need to win on the road. Arrieta gives them the best chance.
Next: And the game four starter is......