Chicago Cubs Opinion: Four reasons Starlin Castro isn’t going anywhere
Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
Castro is a polarizing figure amongst Cubs’ fans, but the truth is–good or bad–he likely isn’t going anywhere soon
Criticism seems to follow the Chicago Cubs‘ Starlin Castro. even with the success he’s had at his age, there is always a large contingent for him to be traded, demoted, benched, etc. Has he brought some of it on himself? Of course. Mental lapses can happen, but they seem to happen to Castro at an alarming rate. Staring off into the distance as a pitch is being delivered? Definitely an issue. But should they trade him?
Absolutely not.
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I don’t know that I’ve ever chosen a side in the Castro war. But I would have to say that with a little bit of thought I’m on his side. He’s assuredly frustrated me at times, even more so this season. But a large part of that comes from what we expect from his offensively. The defense has always had its ups and downs. He’ll make a great play followed by a booted routine grounder. That’s focus, or lack thereof as any former big-leaguer will tell you.
But if you think he’s the Cubs pariah, you’re mistaken. Castro isn’t likely to be going anywhere anytime soon. And there are several good reasons for that.
Next: We made him an offer he couldn't refuse
His Contract
Mandatory Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports
When the Cubs signed Castro to the seven-year deal, they knew exactly what they were getting. A young talent coming off two All-Star appearances who had shown an ability to put the ball in play. The deal is team-friendly, as is Anthony Rizzo‘s. The idea was to lock the two young stars up before they would demand a higher price that would come with success. It appears to be working with Rizzo. The jury is still out on Castro.
His deal escalates–as most do these days–as he’ll make $6 million this season, $7 million next year, and $9 million in 2016. In 2017, he’ll be at $10 million. And there are still two years after that. The Cubs got a bargain and trading him now would do them no good. With the deal he’s inked to, it’s beneficial to let him work to improve as they aren’t on the hook for a ridiculous amount of money.
As we creep toward 2017 though if things haven’t improved for Castro, then you could be looking at a different scenario. The defense was never a concern. Just as I’ve heard with questions about Kyle Schwarber‘s ability to catch–you become a better fielder with every line drive you hit. People thought the same about Castro until he stopped hitting them.
Next: No one is banging down the Cubs' door
His Current Trade Value
Mandatory Credit: Caylor Arnold-USA TODAY Sports
We’ve recently took a look at this, and it’s not he doesn’t have ANY value, it’s just not what it was just a year or two ago. The talks of trading him for a top-tier pitching talent are gone, as now many clubs aren’t sure if he’s just slumping or if his play will be this inconsistent throughout his career. Whichever the case, the return on the three-time All-Star isn’t going to bring a great return, at least as it is right now.
So why deal him? He’s been better more often than he’s been bad. He’s only 25. The potential is still there as he’s not an over the hill, past his prime guy. It’s likely he’s going to need a position change if he’s stays with the Cubs–and that may be just what he needs.
The fact that he’s under team control till 2019 with a team buyout for 2020 would be intriguing to many clubs. But it again comes down to current performance. But for the fans to get so low on Castro when a player like Addison Russell is hitting in the .220’s with no track record? That doesn’t make sense to me. Russell will be a good player, but Castro has already proven he can be.
Next: The kid can still play the game
His Potential
Jun 13, 2015; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Cubs shortstop Starlin Castro (13) and relief pitcher
Jason Motte(30) celebrate Castro
The kid is already making a run a 1,000 hits in this just his sixth season. If you take his career over 20 years which is what most players with 3,000 hits played–he’ll join that club. And that’s with some sub-par seasons. So far in his career, he’s stayed relatively healthy–playing 162 games one season with 125 in his rookie season being the fewest. Have I mentioned he’s only four years older than Russell?
Castro was never going to be a 25 home run guy, never going to knock in 100 runs a year. But he has the uncanny ability to put the ball in play, much like Vladimir Guerrero did for much of his career. It doesn’t mean that he swings at good pitches, but he puts the bad ones in play. He’s had just two bad year’s that he hasn’t done that–and this year isn’t even over.
This has offensively been his worst season with a -0.4 offensive WAR. But his defensive WAR isn’t as bad as it has been. This falls back to Castro has always struggled in the field, but we didn’t notice as much with 160+ hits and a .280 plus average. While everyone thinks he’s getting worse in the field, the fact is he’s the same.
Next: Those who would replace, have faltered
Who’s Taking His Place?
Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports
Most Cubs’ fans were sure that Javier Baez was the future at shortstop for them. Now they’re sure it’s Russell. The thing is, neither has proven themselves as capable at the plate on a regular basis at the Major League level. Can either or both prove otherwise? Of course they can. But are you willing to sacrifice an established player to gamble on that? I’m not. And I don’t think Theo Epstein and Jed Hoyer are either.
Even if Russell is the shortstop as early as next season, there’s no heir apparent to take over second if it wasn’t Castro. Again, Baez hasn’t established anything yet–and it sounds like the Cubs have cooled on expectations for him. I’ve said it since I started writing for Cubbies Crib–not all prospects make it, no matter how much of a “sure thing” the are.
The Cubs could of course sign someone to play second base. But what have we learned about free agency? You’re going to overpay, and you’re probably going to be upset with the deal in a few years. So why do it? They’re best to stick with Castro–even at second–for another year or two before abandoning him. Again, sixth season, three-time All-Star. and don’t give me that “one player has to go for every team” line. He batted .307, .283 and .292 in the seasons he went. If you thought Bryant was worth the selection this season, you have no argument against Castro’s selections.
Next: Like it or not...
Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports
Castro is likely here to stay, at least for the near future. It’s not to say that if a perfect deal comes around they won’t consider it. But with all of these points–some in his favor and some against–he’s going to be a Cub for at least another year or two. I’ve seen him succeed at this level for most of his career. He’s not going to be a Hall of Famer or anything of the sort, but when Castro plays like he’s capable the Cubs are in a good place.
There are things I see him not doing–such as hitting the ball to the opposite field–which I think could quickly help him turn his game around. John Mallee is in his first season, but he came with a plethora of praise, as well as last year’s AL Batting Champ on his resume. So I believe in time he can work with Castro to straighten him out.
Whichever side you stand on with Castro, you might as well get used to standing there. He’s going to remain with the Cubs, just maybe not at the shortstop position.